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TROPICAL DEPRESSION NICHOLAS WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142021
0300 UTC WED SEP 15 2021
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NICHOLAS WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 30.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
BATON ROUGE LA 34 X 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
MORGAN CITY LA 34 X 3( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
ALEXANDRIA LA 34 1 3( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
LAFAYETTE LA 34 1 7( 8) 2(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
NEW IBERIA LA 34 1 6( 7) 2( 9) 1(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11)
FORT POLK LA 34 3 3( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
LAKE CHARLES 34 7 5(12) 2(14) 1(15) X(15) X(15) X(15)
CAMERON LA 34 7 5(12) 2(14) X(14) 1(15) X(15) X(15)
JASPER TX 34 3 1( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
KOUNTZE TX 34 3 3( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
PORT ARTHUR TX 34 4 5( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
GALVESTON TX 34 1 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
HIGH ISLAND TX 34 3 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
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