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HURRICANE LARRY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122021
0900 UTC FRI SEP 03 2021
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.6N  38.9W AT 03/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  17 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  982 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  15SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT.......130NE 100SE  40SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 180SE 150SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.6N  38.9W AT 03/0900Z
AT 03/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.4N  38.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 15.2N  41.1W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE  70SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 16.2N  43.8W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE  80SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 17.3N  46.2W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE  90SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 18.6N  48.5W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE  90SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 19.8N  50.5W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE  90SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 21.1N  52.5W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE  90SW 130NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z 23.8N  55.8W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 27.1N  58.9W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.6N  38.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
 
 
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