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Tropical Storm ETA


ZCZC MIAPWSAT4 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
                                                                    
TROPICAL STORM ETA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  46              
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL292020               
2100 UTC WED NOV 11 2020                                            
                                                                    
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ETA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 
27.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 83.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  
60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/H.                                         
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  STANDARD TIME (EST)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  STANDARD TIME (CST)...SUBTRACT 6 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
SURF CITY NC   34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
BALD HEAD ISL  34  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
LITTLE RIVER   34  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
MYRTLE BEACH   34  X   2( 2)   2( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
GEORGETOWN SC  34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
CHARLESTON SC  34  X   5( 5)   4( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
BEAUFORT MCAS  34  1   8( 9)   4(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)
 
SAVANNAH GA    34  1   7( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
KINGS BAY GA   34  4  44(48)   4(52)   X(52)   X(52)   X(52)   X(52)
KINGS BAY GA   50  X   7( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
WAYCROSS GA    34  1  13(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)
 
MAYPORT NS FL  34  7  48(55)   4(59)   X(59)   X(59)   X(59)   X(59)
MAYPORT NS FL  50  X  10(10)   1(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
MAYPORT NS FL  64  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
JACKSONVILLE   34  2  46(48)   1(49)   X(49)   X(49)   X(49)   X(49)
JACKSONVILLE   50  X   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
GAINESVILLE FL 34 37  43(80)   X(80)   X(80)   X(80)   X(80)   X(80)
GAINESVILLE FL 50  1  10(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
DAYTONA BEACH  34  8  35(43)   X(43)   X(43)   X(43)   X(43)   X(43)
DAYTONA BEACH  50  X   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
THE VILLAGES   34 64  19(83)   X(83)   X(83)   X(83)   X(83)   X(83)
THE VILLAGES   50  4   8(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)
THE VILLAGES   64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
ORLANDO FL     34 15  22(37)   X(37)   X(37)   X(37)   X(37)   X(37)
 
COCOA BEACH FL 34  9  10(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)
 
PATRICK AFB    34  9  10(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)
 
FT PIERCE FL   34  4   4( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
W PALM BEACH   34  3   3( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
FT LAUDERDALE  34  3   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
NAPLES FL      34  4   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
FT MYERS FL    34  3   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
VENICE FL      34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
TAMPA FL       34 98   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)
TAMPA FL       50 23   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)
 
CEDAR KEY FL   34 90   4(94)   X(94)   X(94)   X(94)   X(94)   X(94)
CEDAR KEY FL   50 16   6(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)
CEDAR KEY FL   64  1   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
TALLAHASSEE FL 34  1   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
ST MARKS FL    34  3   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
APALACHICOLA   34  5   2( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
GFMX 290N 850W 34  8   1( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
PANAMA CITY FL 34  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
GRAND BAHAMA   34  2   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER STEWART                                                  
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