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Tropical Storm TEDDY


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TROPICAL STORM TEDDY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL202020
2100 UTC TUE SEP 15 2020
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.6N  47.9W AT 15/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT.......140NE  80SE  40SW 160NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 270SE 150SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.6N  47.9W AT 15/2100Z
AT 15/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.3N  47.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 15.5N  49.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  20SE   0SW  40NW.
34 KT...140NE  90SE  50SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 16.8N  50.2W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE  70SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 18.2N  51.6W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  25SE  15SW  40NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE  80SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 19.7N  53.1W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  25SE  20SW  40NW.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  70NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE  80SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 21.0N  54.4W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE  90SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 22.5N  55.8W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE 100SW 140NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 25.4N  58.8W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 28.5N  61.5W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.6N  47.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER ZELINSKY
 
 
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