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TROPICAL STORM JOSEPHINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL112020
0300 UTC SUN AUG 16 2020
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
INTERESTS IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THIS SYSTEM.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.1N  62.6W AT 16/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......100NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.1N  62.6W AT 16/0300Z
AT 16/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.8N  62.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 21.0N  64.3W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...100NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 22.3N  66.3W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...100NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 23.7N  67.9W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 25.1N  68.8W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 27.1N  68.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 29.0N  68.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 30.6N  67.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z 32.8N  64.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.1N  62.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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