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TROPICAL STORM JOSEPHINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL112020
2100 UTC FRI AUG 14 2020
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
INTERESTS IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THIS SYSTEM.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N  56.1W AT 14/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 70NE   0SE   0SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE  30SE   0SW  45NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N  56.1W AT 14/2100Z
AT 14/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.3N  55.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 18.6N  58.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  30SE   0SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 19.9N  60.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  30SE   0SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 21.1N  62.9W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  30SE   0SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 22.5N  65.1W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 24.1N  66.7W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 25.7N  67.7W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 28.6N  67.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 32.1N  65.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.8N  56.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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