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TROPICAL STORM JOSEPHINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL112020
0900 UTC FRI AUG 14 2020
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
INTERESTS IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THIS SYSTEM.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N  53.3W AT 14/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  15 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 70NE   0SE   0SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N  53.3W AT 14/0900Z
AT 14/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.0N  52.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 16.5N  55.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE   0SE   0SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 18.0N  58.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  30SE  20SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 19.1N  60.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  30SE  20SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 20.3N  62.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  20SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 21.6N  65.1W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  20SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 23.1N  66.7W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  20SW  50NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z 26.0N  67.8W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 30.0N  66.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.3N  53.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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