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TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL112020
2100 UTC TUE AUG 11 2020
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.7N  40.0W AT 11/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.7N  40.0W AT 11/2100Z
AT 11/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.6N  39.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 12.0N  42.1W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 12.4N  44.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 13.0N  46.9W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 13.9N  49.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 15.1N  51.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 16.4N  54.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z 18.5N  59.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z 21.0N  64.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.7N  40.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG
 
 
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