ZCZC MIATCMAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION KAREN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122019
0300 UTC TUE SEP 24 2019
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* PUERTO RICO...INCLUDING VIEQUES AND CULEBRA
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE LESSER ANTILLES SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF KAREN.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N  65.8W AT 24/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N  65.8W AT 24/0300Z
AT 24/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.9N  65.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 17.5N  66.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 19.6N  66.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 22.0N  65.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 23.9N  65.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 26.8N  64.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE   0SW  40NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/0000Z 28.0N  64.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/0000Z 28.0N  66.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.1N  65.8W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 24/0600Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
 
 
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