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TROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082019
2100 UTC WED SEP 04 2019

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.0N  34.0W AT 04/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......120NE  40SE  40SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  30SE  90SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.0N  34.0W AT 04/2100Z
AT 04/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.7N  33.8W

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 21.7N  34.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE  40SE  40SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 22.8N  35.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE  40SE  40SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 24.2N  37.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...110NE  40SE  40SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 26.1N  39.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...110NE  50SE  40SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 30.0N  43.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...110NE  70SE  50SW  90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 33.0N  47.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 36.5N  48.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.0N  34.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/HAGEN


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