ZCZC MIATCMAT5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

TROPICAL STORM DORIAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052019
1500 UTC MON AUG 26 2019

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED BY THE GOVERNMENT OF ST. LUCIA
FOR ST. LUCIA.

THE GOVERNMENT OF FRANCE HAS UPGRADED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH TO A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR MARTINIQUE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ST. LUCIA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BARBADOS
* MARTINIQUE
* ST. LUCIA
* ST. VINCENT AND THE GRENADINES

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* DOMINICA
* GRENADA AND ITS DEPENDENCIES
* SABA AND ST. EUSTATIUS

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE...WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS IN PUERTO RICO...THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND HISPANIOLA
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF DORIAN AS WATCHES FOR THESE AREAS
COULD BE REQUIRED LATER TODAY.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.3N  57.7W AT 26/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  40SE  30SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.3N  57.7W AT 26/1500Z
AT 26/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.1N  57.1W

FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 12.9N  59.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 13.9N  61.4W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 15.1N  63.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 10NE   0SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 16.4N  65.6W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 19.2N  69.3W...NE COAST OF HISPANIOLA
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z 22.0N  72.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 31/1200Z 24.8N  76.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.3N  57.7W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 26/1800Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART


NNNN