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TROPICAL STORM SERGIO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  44
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP212018
0900 UTC WED OCT 10 2018

AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM SERGIO WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 17.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 124.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        06Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

PUNTA EUGENIA  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   8(14)   X(14)   X(14)

P ABREOJOS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)  18(18)  36(54)   X(54)   X(54)
P ABREOJOS     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  14(16)   X(16)   X(16)
P ABREOJOS     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

LA PAZ         34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

LORETO         34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  24(25)   X(25)   X(25)
LORETO         50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

HERMOSILLO     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  29(29)   X(29)   X(29)
HERMOSILLO     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

BAHIA KINO     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  28(29)   X(29)   X(29)
BAHIA KINO     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
BAHIA KINO     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)

GUAYMAS        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  46(47)   X(47)   X(47)
GUAYMAS        50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  12(12)   X(12)   X(12)
GUAYMAS        64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

HUATABAMPO     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  20(20)   X(20)   X(20)
HUATABAMPO     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

LOS MOCHIS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

20N 115W       34  X   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

25N 115W       34  X   X( X)   4( 4)  60(64)   3(67)   X(67)   X(67)
25N 115W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)  25(25)   3(28)   X(28)   X(28)
25N 115W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

15N 120W       34  1   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

20N 120W       34  4  72(76)   2(78)   X(78)   X(78)   X(78)   X(78)
20N 120W       50  X  36(36)   3(39)   X(39)   X(39)   X(39)   X(39)
20N 120W       64  X   4( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

25N 120W       34  X   3( 3)   3( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

15N 125W       34  4   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

20N 125W       34 10   2(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS
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