ZCZC MIATCPEP4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Nineteen-E Advisory Number   3
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP192018
900 PM MDT Wed Sep 19 2018

...HEAVY RAINS OCCURRING OVER NORTHWESTERN MEXICO WHERE FLASH
FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES ARE POSSIBLE...
...HEAVY RAINS AND FLASH FLOODING POSSIBLE IN THE SOUTHWESTERN AND
SOUTH-CENTRAL UNITED STATES THROUGH FRIDAY...


SUMMARY OF 900 PM MDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...27.3N 110.5W
ABOUT 55 MI...85 KM SSE OF GUAYMAS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Interests in northwestern Mexico and the southwestern United
States monitor the progress of Tropical Depression Nineteen-E and
its remnants.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 900 PM MDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression
Nineteen-E was located near latitude 27.3 North, longitude 110.5
West. The depression is moving toward the north-northeast near 7 mph
(11 km/h), and this motion should take the depression inland over
northwestern Mexico overnight.

Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts.
The depression is expected to dissipate on Thursday.

The minimum central pressure of 1002 mb (29.59 inches) is based on
nearby surface observations.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL:  The depression is expected to produce total rain
accumulations of 5 to 10 inches in the Mexican states of Sonora and
northern Sinaloa, and 2 to 4 inches in Baja California Sur and
western Chihuahua. Isolated maximum amounts of 15 inches are
possible in Sonora and northern Sinaloa. This rainfall may cause
life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides.

Moisture associated with the depression and eventually its remnants
will also lead to areas of heavy rain and a heightened risk of
flash flooding in the southwestern United States tonight and
Thursday, and in the southern Plains beginning on Friday.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 300 AM MDT.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi

NNNN