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HURRICANE NORMAN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162018
1500 UTC FRI AUG 31 2018
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE NORMAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
16.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 120.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
115 KTS...130 MPH...215 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
15N 120W 34 2 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
15N 125W 34 1 28(29) 41(70) 1(71) X(71) X(71) X(71)
15N 125W 50 X 2( 2) 17(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19)
15N 125W 64 X X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
20N 125W 34 1 2( 3) 2( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
15N 130W 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 21(24) 12(36) X(36) X(36)
15N 130W 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
15N 130W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
20N 130W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 16(23) 1(24) X(24)
20N 130W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
20N 130W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
15N 135W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 3(14) X(14)
20N 135W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 37(37) 18(55) X(55)
20N 135W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 11(21) X(21)
20N 135W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) X( 8)
15N 140W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 1( 8)
20N 140W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 46(47) 10(57)
20N 140W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 17(17) 6(23)
20N 140W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 2( 8)
25N 140W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5)
20N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 19(22)
20N 145W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6)
20N 145W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
25N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6)
$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS
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