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HURRICANE HILARY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP092017
1500 UTC WED JUL 26 2017
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 112.3W AT 26/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  973 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 80NE  50SE  50SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE  90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 112.3W AT 26/1500Z
AT 26/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 111.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 16.7N 113.9W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  50SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 17.1N 115.7W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  50SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 17.5N 117.4W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 18.1N 118.9W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  70SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 19.7N 121.9W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  90SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z 21.4N 125.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 31/1200Z 23.0N 129.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.4N 112.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
 
 
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