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HURRICANE HILARY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP092017
2100 UTC TUE JUL 25 2017
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 108.8W AT 25/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  974 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 80NE  50SE  50SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  60SE  60SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 108.8W AT 25/2100Z
AT 25/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 108.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 15.9N 110.5W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  50SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 16.4N 112.7W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  50SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 16.9N 114.8W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 17.5N 116.8W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  70SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 18.7N 120.4W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE  90SW 110NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/1800Z 19.7N 124.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z 20.5N 127.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.5N 108.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
 
 
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