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HURRICANE DORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042017
1500 UTC TUE JUN 27 2017
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 110.2W AT 27/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 11 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE 15SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
34 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE 80SE 90SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 110.2W AT 27/1500Z
AT 27/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 109.7W
FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 19.8N 111.6W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 15SE 15SW 20NW.
34 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 20.4N 113.4W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 21.0N 115.2W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 21.5N 117.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 21.5N 120.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.3N 110.2W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
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