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Subtropical Depression One


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Subtropical Depression One Discussion Number   2
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL012017
500 PM AST Wed Apr 19 2017

The subtropical depression's cloud pattern has changed little in
organization during the day and it consists of an exposed low-level
center with moderate convection within a curved band over the
eastern semicircle.  The initial intensity is still estimated at 30
kt. Given the prevailing strong shear and the cold sea surface
temperatures, no strengthening is forecast before the subtropical
cyclone becomes absorbed on Thursday by an approaching extratropical
low.

The subtropical depression is moving toward the north-northeast and
north at about 10 kt.  A general northward track, around the
approaching extratropical low, is expected tonight and early
Thursday.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  19/2100Z 32.4N  40.0W   30 KT  35 MPH
 12H  20/0600Z 34.0N  40.5W   30 KT  35 MPH
 24H  20/1800Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Avila

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