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BULLETIN
HURRICANE PAINE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   7A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP172016
1100 AM PDT MON SEP 19 2016

...PAINE STRENGTHENS SOME MORE...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM PDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...22.4N 115.9W
ABOUT 380 MI...610 KM W OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
ABOUT 295 MI...475 KM SW OF CABO SAN LAZARO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...977 MB...28.85 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Punta Eugenia to Cabo San Quintin

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1100 AM PDT (1800 UTC), the center of the eye of Hurricane Paine
was located near latitude 22.4 North, longitude 115.9 West. Paine is
moving toward the north-northwest near 15 mph (24 km/h).  A motion
toward the north at a slower rate of forward speed is expected by
Wednesday.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 90 mph (150 km/h)
with higher gusts.  Some slight strengthening is still possible
today. Steady weakening is then forecast to begin tonight and
continue through Wednesday, and Paine is expected to become a
tropical storm on Tuesday.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from
the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105
miles (165 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 977 mb (28.85 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL:  Hurricane Paine is expected to produce rainfall amounts
of 2 to 4 inches across the northern Baja California peninsula with
isolated storm total amounts of 6 inches through Wednesday.

Moisture in advance of Paine will help spread rains into portions of
southern California, Arizona, southern Utah, New Mexico, and
southwestern Colorado with localized maximum amounts of 1 to 2
inches possible, mainly over the favored higher terrain.

WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch
area by Tuesday night.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 200 PM PDT.

$$
Forecaster Landsea/Stewart

NNNN