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TROPICAL STORM PAINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP172016
1500 UTC SUN SEP 18 2016
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 111.4W AT 18/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE  50SE   0SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  60SE   0SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 111.4W AT 18/1500Z
AT 18/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 110.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 18.7N 113.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE   0SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 20.7N 114.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 22.9N 116.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  40SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 24.9N 117.1W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 28.0N 117.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.5N 111.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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