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HURRICANE ORLENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP162016
2100 UTC TUE SEP 13 2016
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.7N 118.7W AT 13/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  15 DEGREES AT   2 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  980 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT....... 80NE  80SE  70SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE 150SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.7N 118.7W AT 13/2100Z
AT 13/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.6N 118.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 19.9N 118.8W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  70SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 20.1N 119.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  70SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 19.9N 120.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 19.7N 122.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 19.5N 127.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z 19.5N 132.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 20.0N 136.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.7N 118.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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