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TROPICAL STORM KAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122016
2100 UTC FRI AUG 19 2016
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 111.7W AT 19/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 6 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 0NE 0SE 50SW 40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 60SW 45NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 111.7W AT 19/2100Z
AT 19/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.6N 111.5W
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 19.3N 112.2W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 20NE 20SE 50SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 20.0N 112.9W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 40SE 40SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 20.5N 113.7W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 40SE 40SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 21.0N 114.7W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 21.8N 116.3W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 22.4N 117.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 22.9N 120.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.8N 111.7W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0300Z
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FORECASTER ROBERTS
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