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TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP082016
2100 UTC THU JUL 21 2016
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.8N 114.0W AT 21/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.8N 114.0W AT 21/2100Z
AT 21/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.5N 113.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 11.4N 115.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 12.3N 117.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 13.0N 119.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 13.6N 122.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 15.0N 125.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  50SW  70NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 17.0N 128.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 18.0N 130.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.8N 114.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
 
 
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