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TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP062016
0900 UTC WED JUL 20 2016
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.0N 122.0W AT 20/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  990 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 70NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT.......130NE 120SE  80SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 180SE 180SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.0N 122.0W AT 20/0900Z
AT 20/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.0N 121.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 19.4N 124.1W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE  80SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 19.9N 126.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE  70SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 20.6N 129.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  50SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 21.6N 132.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE   0SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 24.5N 136.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/0600Z 28.1N 140.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.0N 122.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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