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TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062016
0300 UTC TUE JUL 19 2016
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 116.5W AT 19/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 8 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 993 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 80NE 40SE 30SW 80NW.
34 KT.......140NE 130SE 80SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 180SE 180SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 116.5W AT 19/0300Z
AT 19/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 116.1W
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 18.7N 117.9W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 40SE 30SW 80NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE 80SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 19.1N 120.1W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 80NE 40SE 40SW 80NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE 80SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 19.4N 122.4W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 40SE 40SW 80NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE 80SW 110NW.
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 19.9N 124.9W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT...110NE 90SE 70SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 21.6N 130.3W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 70SE 40SW 90NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z 24.0N 135.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z 27.5N 139.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.3N 116.5W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0900Z
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FORECASTER BLAKE
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