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TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062016
0300 UTC SUN JUL 17 2016
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 110.4W AT 17/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 7 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 120SE 120SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 110.4W AT 17/0300Z
AT 17/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 110.0W
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 16.4N 111.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 70SE 60SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 16.9N 112.9W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...110NE 90SE 60SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 17.5N 114.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 70SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 17.9N 116.2W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...130NE 100SE 80SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 18.4N 120.1W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...130NE 100SE 80SW 100NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z 19.0N 124.8W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z 20.3N 129.8W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.1N 110.4W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0900Z
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
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