Skip Navigation Links
NOAA NOAA United States Department of Commerce

Tropical Storm NICOLE


ZCZC MIAPWSAT5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

TROPICAL STORM NICOLE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  28
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL152016
0300 UTC TUE OCT 11 2016

AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NICOLE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 26.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 65.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        00Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

HIBERNIA OILFD 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  11(12)
HIBERNIA OILFD 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)
HIBERNIA OILFD 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)

CAPE RACE NFLD 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  13(15)
CAPE RACE NFLD 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)

ILE ST PIERRE  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   9(12)
ILE ST PIERRE  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
ILE ST PIERRE  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)

BURGEO NFLD    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)

PTX BASQUES    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)

EDDY POINT NS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   4( 7)

SYDNEY NS      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   4( 7)

SABLE ISLAND   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  10(10)   7(17)
SABLE ISLAND   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)
SABLE ISLAND   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)

HALIFAX NS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)

BERMUDA        34  X   5( 5)   8(13)  33(46)  40(86)   1(87)   X(87)
BERMUDA        50  X   X( X)   X( X)  12(12)  42(54)   1(55)   X(55)
BERMUDA        64  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)  24(28)   1(29)   X(29)

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
NNNN