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TROPICAL STORM NICOLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  27
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL152016
2100 UTC MON OCT 10 2016
 
THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FOR
BERMUDA.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA
 
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.3N  65.4W AT 10/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 355 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  992 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 60NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT.......140NE 140SE  70SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..330NE 210SE  90SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.3N  65.4W AT 10/2100Z
AT 10/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.0N  65.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 26.9N  65.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE  80SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 27.5N  66.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE  80SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 28.2N  66.7W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE  80SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 29.5N  66.7W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  80SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE  90SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 33.2N  64.3W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT...100NE  90SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...210NE 210SE 120SW 130NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/1800Z 38.1N  58.3W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z 42.0N  54.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.3N  65.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN
 
 
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