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TROPICAL STORM NICOLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  26
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL152016
1500 UTC MON OCT 10 2016
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
INTERESTS IN BERMUDA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF NICOLE.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.7N  65.2W AT 10/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  992 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE  50SE  20SW   0NW.
34 KT.......160NE 160SE  70SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..330NE 180SE  90SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.7N  65.2W AT 10/1500Z
AT 10/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.4N  65.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 26.4N  65.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  20SW   0NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE  70SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 27.2N  66.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE  80SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 27.7N  66.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE  80SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 28.5N  66.8W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE  90SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 31.8N  65.2W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  90SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...210NE 200SE 110SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z 36.7N  59.6W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z 41.2N  53.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.7N  65.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN
 
 
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