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TROPICAL STORM NICOLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL152016
1500 UTC SAT OCT 08 2016
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.2N  65.7W AT 08/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTH OR 190 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE  80SE  60SW  20NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  90SE  60SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.2N  65.7W AT 08/1500Z
AT 08/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.4N  65.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 24.6N  65.7W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  80SE  60SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 24.2N  65.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  80SE  60SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 24.8N  65.9W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  80SE  60SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 25.7N  66.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  80SE  60SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 28.3N  66.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  80SE  60SW  20NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z 30.5N  67.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z 33.4N  64.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.2N  65.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN
 
 
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