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Tropical Storm NICOLE


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TROPICAL STORM NICOLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL152016
0300 UTC SAT OCT 08 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.3N  65.3W AT 08/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTH OR 180 DEGREES AT   6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 50NE  70SE  50SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  90SE  90SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.3N  65.3W AT 08/0300Z
AT 08/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.6N  65.3W

FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 25.5N  65.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  70SE  50SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 24.7N  64.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  80SE  50SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 24.8N  65.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  90SE  50SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 25.5N  65.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  60SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 27.7N  65.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  70SW  70NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z 30.5N  66.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z 33.5N  65.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.3N  65.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE


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