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TROPICAL STORM NICOLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL152016
1500 UTC FRI OCT 07 2016
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.5N  65.3W AT 07/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   0 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  985 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  70SE  40SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE  90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.5N  65.3W AT 07/1500Z
AT 07/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.6N  65.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 27.0N  65.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 26.1N  64.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  30SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 25.4N  64.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  30SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 25.3N  65.1W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  30SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 26.6N  65.7W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  30SW  20NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 28.8N  66.1W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z 32.0N  65.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.5N  65.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN
 
 
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