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HURRICANE MATTHEW FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  30
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142016
1500 UTC WED OCT 05 2016
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED NORTHWARD FROM SEBASTIAN
INLET TO THE FLAGLER/VOLUSIA COUNTY LINE.
 
THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR HAITI HAS BEEN CHANGED TO A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING.
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC HAS DISCONTINUED THE
TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CUBAN PROVINCES OF GUANTANAMO...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...HOLGUIN...
GRANMA...AND LAS TUNAS
* SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE INAGUAS...MAYAGUANA...
ACKLINS...CROOKED ISLAND...LONG CAY...AND RAGGED ISLAND
* CENTRAL BAHAMAS...INCLUDING LONG ISLAND...EXUMA...RUM CAY...
SAN SALVADOR...AND CAT ISLAND
* NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ABACOS...ANDROS ISLAND...
BERRY ISLANDS...BIMINI...ELEUTHERA...GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND...AND
NEW PROVIDENCE
* NORTH OF GOLDEN BEACH TO THE FLAGLER/VOLUSIA COUNTY LINE
* LAKE OKEECHOBEE
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CUBAN PROVINCE OF CAMAGUEY
* NORTH OF THE FLAGLER/VOLUSIA COUNTY LINE TO FERNANDINA BEACH
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HAITI
* TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS
* CHOKOLOSKEE TO GOLDEN BEACH
* FLORIDA KEYS FROM SEVEN MILE BRIDGE EASTWARD
* FLORIDA BAY
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE FLORIDA PENINSULA AND THE FLORIDA KEYS
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MATTHEW.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.8N  75.2W AT 05/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  962 MB
EYE DIAMETER  25 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 125 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT.......150NE 140SE  80SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 120SE  60SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.8N  75.2W AT 05/1500Z
AT 05/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.5N  74.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 23.1N  76.0W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 140SE  80SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 24.8N  77.5W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE  80SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 26.6N  79.0W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE  90SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 28.2N  80.1W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...170NE 170SE 100SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 31.5N  80.0W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 100SW 130NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 32.5N  76.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 32.0N  74.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.8N  75.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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