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TROPICAL STORM LISA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132016
1500 UTC WED SEP 21 2016
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N  32.5W AT 21/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  35 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......110NE  50SE   0SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE  45SE   0SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N  32.5W AT 21/1500Z
AT 21/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.7N  32.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 18.6N  33.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...110NE  70SE  20SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 19.7N  34.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  20SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 20.9N  36.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 22.3N  38.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  20SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 25.0N  41.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 28.5N  43.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 34.0N  41.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.0N  32.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
 
 
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