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BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM KARL ADVISORY NUMBER  35
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122016
1100 PM AST THU SEP 22 2016

...KARL MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AND EXPECTED TO PASS NEAR BERMUDA
FRIDAY NIGHT OR SATURDAY MORNING...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...27.0N 64.0W
ABOUT 370 MI...595 KM S OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Bermuda

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Karl was
located near latitude 27.0 North, longitude 64.0 West. Karl is
moving toward the northwest near 16 mph (26 km/h).  A turn toward
the north is expected on Friday, with a turn toward the northeast
expected Friday night.  On the forecast track, the center of Karl
should pass near or to the east of Bermuda on Friday night or
Saturday morning.

Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts.
Strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and Karl could
become a hurricane on Saturday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km)
from the center.  A few hours ago, NOAA buoy 41049 reported
sustained winds of 40 mph (65 km/h) and a wind gust of 56 mph
(90 km/h).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1001 mb (29.56 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are expected on Bermuda by Friday
evening.

RAINFALL:  Karl is expected to produce total rain accumulations
of 1 to 3 inches over Bermuda through Saturday and early Sunday.

SURF:  Swells generated by Karl are already affecting Bermuda and
are expected to increase during the next couple of days.  These
swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current
conditions.  Please consult products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 200 AM AST.
Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Beven

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