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TROPICAL STORM HERMINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  24
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092016
0900 UTC SAT SEP 03 2016
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SURF CITY TO SANDY HOOK
* PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS
* CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM DRUM POINT SOUTHWARD
* TIDAL POTOMAC FROM COBB ISLAND EASTWARD
* DELAWARE BAY
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF SANDY HOOK TO WEST OF WATCH HILL
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE UNITED STATES NORTHEAST COAST SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.  ADDITIONAL WATCHES OR
WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRE FOR PORTIONS OF THIS AREA ON SATURDAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.4N  76.5W AT 03/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR  60 DEGREES AT  18 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT.......  0NE 100SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT.......120NE 160SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..  0NE 210SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.4N  76.5W AT 03/0900Z
AT 03/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 35.0N  77.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 36.5N  74.2W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE 100SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE  90SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 37.3N  72.8W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 100SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 110SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 38.0N  72.5W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE   0SE  90SW  90NW.
34 KT...210NE 150SE 150SW 180NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 38.5N  72.3W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  60SE  90SW 120NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 150SW 180NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 39.0N  72.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  70SW  70NW.
34 KT...160NE 150SE 150SW 150NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z 39.5N  71.5W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 40.5N  70.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 35.4N  76.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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