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TROPICAL STORM IDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL102015
1500 UTC WED SEP 23 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.0N  47.0W AT 23/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  35 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR  90 DEGREES AT   4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......120NE 150SE   0SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE  90SE  60SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.0N  47.0W AT 23/1500Z
AT 23/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.0N  47.2W

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 20.0N  46.4W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...120NE 130SE   0SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 20.5N  46.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...120NE 130SE   0SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 21.0N  46.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...110NE 130SE   0SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 22.0N  46.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...100NE 110SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 23.0N  47.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...110NE 130SE   0SW  40NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 25.0N  47.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 25.5N  48.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.0N  47.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA


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