Tropical Storm VANCE
ZCZC MIAPWSEP1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM VANCE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP212014
2100 UTC SAT NOV 01 2014
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM VANCE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 10.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 104.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) 1( 8)
SAN JOSE CABO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 1( 7)
LA PAZ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5)
CULIACAN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
MAZATLAN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5)
SAN BLAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5)
P VALLARTA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5)
BARRA NAVIDAD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5)
MANZANILLO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4)
ISLA SOCORRO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 25(32) 3(35) X(35)
ISLA SOCORRO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
ISLA SOCORRO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
ISLA CLARION 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
ISLAS MARIAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) 1( 8)
CLIPPERTON IS 34 X 15(15) 4(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19)
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FORECASTER BRENNAN
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