Hurricane NORBERT

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HURRICANE NORBERT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142014
1500 UTC SAT SEP 06 2014
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SANTA FE TO PUNTA EUGENIA
* SAN EVARISTO TO LORETO
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.0N 114.1W AT 06/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  960 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  30SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT.......120NE 100SE  90SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 220SE 150SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.0N 114.1W AT 06/1500Z
AT 06/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.8N 113.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 25.6N 115.1W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE  80SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 26.5N 116.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE  80SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 27.3N 117.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  70SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 28.2N 117.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 29.5N 117.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 30.0N 116.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 30.0N 116.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.0N 114.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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