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Hurricane JULIO


ZCZC MIATCMEP5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

HURRICANE JULIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP102014
1500 UTC THU AUG 07 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
JULIO.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 136.5W AT 07/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  970 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  60SE  60SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 120SE 120SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 136.5W AT 07/1500Z
AT 07/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 135.7W

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 17.3N 138.9W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  70SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 17.8N 141.9W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  70SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 18.5N 144.8W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  70SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 19.3N 147.6W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  70SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 21.5N 153.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  60SW  90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 23.5N 158.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z 24.5N 162.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.9N 136.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN


NNNN


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Page last modified: Wednesday, 17-Dec-2014 12:09:40 UTC