Tropical Storm FAY

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TROPICAL STORM FAY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   8A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL072014
200 AM AST SUN OCT 12 2014

...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS OCCURRING OVER BERMUDA...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...31.7N 64.8W
ABOUT 40 MI...65 KM S OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB...29.21 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 64.8 WEST. FAY IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 17 MPH...28 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE
NORTHEAST AND AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ARE EXPECTED THIS
MORNING...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST AND A FURTHER
INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ON SUNDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE
CENTER OF FAY WILL PASS NEAR BERMUDA DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS AND
MOVE AWAY FROM BERMUDA LATER THIS MORNING.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS. FAY IS EXPECTED TO BE ABSORBED BY A COLD FRONT ON MONDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM
FROM THE CENTER. A SUSTAINED WIND OF 53 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH A GUST
TO 67 MPH...107 KM/H WAS RECENTLY RECORDED AT COMMISSIONERS POINT ON
BERMUDA.  A WIND GUST TO 45 MPH...72 KM/H WAS RECENTLY OBSERVED AT
THE BERMUDA INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 989 MB...29.21 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE OVER BERMUDA THROUGH
THIS MORNING.  HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ON BERMUDA DURING
THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS.

RAINFALL...FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS
OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ACROSS BERMUDA.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY FAY WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE
SOUTH-FACING SHORES OF BERMUDA THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. THESE SWELLS
ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT
CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN/ROBERTS

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