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NOAA NOAA United States Department of Commerce

Hurricane ARTHUR


ZCZC MIAPWSAT1 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
                                                                    
HURRICANE ARTHUR WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  17                
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL012014               
0300 UTC SAT JUL 05 2014                                            
                                                                    
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ARTHUR WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE   
41.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 68.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  
65 KTS...75 MPH...120 KM/H.                                         
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE         
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                                  
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
CAPE RACE NFLD 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
ILE ST PIERRE  34  X   1( 1)   7( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
BURGEO NFLD    34  X   4( 4)  22(26)   2(28)   X(28)   X(28)   X(28)
BURGEO NFLD    50  X   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
PTX BASQUES    34  X  11(11)  40(51)   X(51)   X(51)   X(51)   X(51)
PTX BASQUES    50  X   X( X)  11(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
PTX BASQUES    64  X   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
EDDY POINT NS  34  4  40(44)   3(47)   X(47)   X(47)   X(47)   X(47)
EDDY POINT NS  50  X   7( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
SYDNEY NS      34  2  23(25)  13(38)   X(38)   X(38)   X(38)   X(38)
SYDNEY NS      50  X   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
SABLE ISLAND   34  3   6( 9)   1(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 
HALIFAX NS     34 57  34(91)   X(91)   X(91)   X(91)   X(91)   X(91)
HALIFAX NS     50  2  41(43)   X(43)   X(43)   X(43)   X(43)   X(43)
HALIFAX NS     64  1   4( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
YARMOUTH NS    34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
YARMOUTH NS    50 79   3(82)   X(82)   X(82)   X(82)   X(82)   X(82)
YARMOUTH NS    64 26   2(28)   X(28)   X(28)   X(28)   X(28)   X(28)
 
MONCTON NB     34 16  61(77)   X(77)   X(77)   X(77)   X(77)   X(77)
MONCTON NB     50  1  24(25)   X(25)   X(25)   X(25)   X(25)   X(25)
MONCTON NB     64  X   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
ST JOHN NB     34 66  19(85)   X(85)   X(85)   X(85)   X(85)   X(85)
ST JOHN NB     50  5  22(27)   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)
ST JOHN NB     64  2   4( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
EASTPORT ME    34 56   7(63)   X(63)   X(63)   X(63)   X(63)   X(63)
EASTPORT ME    50  7   4(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
EASTPORT ME    64  1   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
BAR HARBOR ME  34 22   1(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)
 
AUGUSTA ME     34  3   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
PORTLAND ME    34  3   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
BOSTON MA      34  3   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
HYANNIS MA     34 14   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)
 
NANTUCKET MA   34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BEVEN                                                    
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