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Hurricane ARTHUR


ZCZC MIAPWSAT1 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
                                                                    
HURRICANE ARTHUR WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  15                
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL012014               
1500 UTC FRI JUL 04 2014                                            
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ARTHUR WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE   
37.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 73.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  
80 KTS...90 MPH...150 KM/H.                                         
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE         
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                                  
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
CAPE RACE NFLD 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
ILE ST PIERRE  34  X   X( X)   1( 1)  23(24)   2(26)   X(26)   X(26)
ILE ST PIERRE  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
BURGEO NFLD    34  X   X( X)   3( 3)  45(48)   4(52)   X(52)   X(52)
BURGEO NFLD    50  X   X( X)   X( X)  12(12)   1(13)   X(13)   X(13)
BURGEO NFLD    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
PTX BASQUES    34  X   X( X)   8( 8)  54(62)   1(63)   X(63)   X(63)
PTX BASQUES    50  X   X( X)   X( X)  21(21)   1(22)   X(22)   X(22)
PTX BASQUES    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
EDDY POINT NS  34  X   3( 3)  35(38)  12(50)   X(50)   X(50)   X(50)
EDDY POINT NS  50  X   X( X)   5( 5)   4( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
EDDY POINT NS  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
SYDNEY NS      34  X   1( 1)  20(21)  34(55)   X(55)   X(55)   X(55)
SYDNEY NS      50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   9(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
SYDNEY NS      64  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
SABLE ISLAND   34  X   2( 2)   6( 8)   4(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 
HALIFAX NS     34  X  31(31)  43(74)   X(74)   X(74)   X(74)   X(74)
HALIFAX NS     50  X   2( 2)  20(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)
HALIFAX NS     64  X   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
YARMOUTH NS    34  1  91(92)   1(93)   X(93)   X(93)   X(93)   X(93)
YARMOUTH NS    50  X  56(56)   2(58)   X(58)   X(58)   X(58)   X(58)
YARMOUTH NS    64  X  10(10)   2(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 
MONCTON NB     34  X  11(11)  48(59)   1(60)   X(60)   X(60)   X(60)
MONCTON NB     50  X   1( 1)  18(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)
MONCTON NB     64  X   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
ST JOHN NB     34  X  45(45)  22(67)   X(67)   X(67)   X(67)   X(67)
ST JOHN NB     50  X   6( 6)  15(21)   X(21)   X(21)   X(21)   X(21)
ST JOHN NB     64  X   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
EASTPORT ME    34  X  42(42)   9(51)   X(51)   X(51)   X(51)   X(51)
EASTPORT ME    50  X   6( 6)   3( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
BAR HARBOR ME  34  1  16(17)   2(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)
 
AUGUSTA ME     34  1   4( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
PORTLAND ME    34  2   2( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
CONCORD NH     34  2   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
BOSTON MA      34  2   4( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
HYANNIS MA     34 25  29(54)   X(54)   X(54)   X(54)   X(54)   X(54)
HYANNIS MA     50  1   5( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
NANTUCKET MA   34 70  18(88)   X(88)   X(88)   X(88)   X(88)   X(88)
NANTUCKET MA   50  8  22(30)   X(30)   X(30)   X(30)   X(30)   X(30)
NANTUCKET MA   64  X   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
PROVIDENCE RI  34  4   3( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
HARTFORD CT    34  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
MONTAUK POINT  34  7   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BROWN                                                    
NNNN                                                                


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Page last modified: Monday, 28-Jul-2014 12:09:05 UTC