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Tropical Storm ARTHUR


ZCZC MIAPWSAT1 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
                                                                    
TROPICAL STORM ARTHUR WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   5           
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL012014               
0300 UTC WED JUL 02 2014                                            
                                                                    
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ARTHUR WAS LOCATED NEAR       
LATITUDE 27.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 79.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H.                               
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE         
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                                  
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
CAPE RACE NFLD 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  10(10)
 
ILE ST PIERRE  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  14(15)
ILE ST PIERRE  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
BURGEO NFLD    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  15(16)
BURGEO NFLD    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
PTX BASQUES    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  16(18)
PTX BASQUES    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
EDDY POINT NS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  11(11)  18(29)
EDDY POINT NS  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   6( 8)
 
SYDNEY NS      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)  19(25)
SYDNEY NS      50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)
 
SABLE ISLAND   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  14(14)  19(33)
SABLE ISLAND   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   6( 8)
SABLE ISLAND   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
 
HALIFAX NS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  23(23)  10(33)
HALIFAX NS     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   4(10)
HALIFAX NS     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)
 
YARMOUTH NS    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  29(29)   3(32)
YARMOUTH NS    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  10(10)   2(12)
YARMOUTH NS    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)
 
MONCTON NB     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)   8(17)
MONCTON NB     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)
MONCTON NB     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
 
ST JOHN NB     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  15(15)   4(19)
ST JOHN NB     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)
 
EASTPORT ME    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  15(15)   2(17)
EASTPORT ME    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)
EASTPORT ME    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 
BAR HARBOR ME  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  14(14)   1(15)
BAR HARBOR ME  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)
 
AUGUSTA ME     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  10(10)   X(10)
 
PORTLAND ME    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  10(11)   X(11)
 
CONCORD NH     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)   X( 9)
 
BOSTON MA      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)  14(18)   X(18)
BOSTON MA      50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)
 
HYANNIS MA     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)  24(31)   X(31)
HYANNIS MA     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  10(11)   X(11)
HYANNIS MA     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)
 
NANTUCKET MA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  10(10)  29(39)   X(39)
NANTUCKET MA   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  15(16)   X(16)
NANTUCKET MA   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   X( 6)
 
PROVIDENCE RI  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)  15(23)   X(23)
PROVIDENCE RI  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   X( 6)
PROVIDENCE RI  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)
 
HARTFORD CT    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   6(13)   X(13)
 
MONTAUK POINT  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  13(13)  13(26)   X(26)
MONTAUK POINT  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   6( 8)   X( 8)
MONTAUK POINT  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)
 
NEW YORK CITY  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  12(12)   4(16)   X(16)
NEW YORK CITY  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 
NEWARK NJ      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  11(11)   3(14)   X(14)
 
TRENTON NJ     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  12(12)   2(14)   X(14)
 
ATLANTIC CITY  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  21(21)   1(22)   X(22)
ATLANTIC CITY  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
ATLANTIC CITY  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
BALTIMORE MD   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
DOVER DE       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  16(16)   1(17)   X(17)
 
ANNAPOLIS MD   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  10(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 
WASHINGTON DC  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
OCEAN CITY MD  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  29(30)   X(30)   X(30)
OCEAN CITY MD  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)
OCEAN CITY MD  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
RICHMOND VA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  11(14)   X(14)   X(14)
 
NORFOLK NAS    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)  28(32)   X(32)   X(32)
NORFOLK NAS    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
NORFOLK NAS    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
NORFOLK VA     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)  32(36)   X(36)   X(36)
NORFOLK VA     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  10(10)   X(10)   X(10)
NORFOLK VA     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
WALLOPS CDA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  29(30)   X(30)   X(30)
WALLOPS CDA    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
WALLOPS CDA    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
GREENSBORO NC  34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   3( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
RALEIGH NC     34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   5( 7)   6(13)   X(13)   X(13)
 
CAPE HATTERAS  34  X   X( X)   2( 2)  15(17)  58(75)   X(75)   X(75)
CAPE HATTERAS  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  41(43)   X(43)   X(43)
CAPE HATTERAS  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  21(21)   X(21)   X(21)
 
CHARLOTTE NC   34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
MOREHEAD CITY  34  X   X( X)   4( 4)  34(38)  32(70)   X(70)   X(70)
MOREHEAD CITY  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)  28(36)   X(36)   X(36)
MOREHEAD CITY  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  15(17)   X(17)   X(17)
 
WILMINGTON NC  34  X   1( 1)   4( 5)  41(46)  10(56)   X(56)   X(56)
WILMINGTON NC  50  X   X( X)   X( X)  12(12)   9(21)   X(21)   X(21)
WILMINGTON NC  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   4( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
COLUMBIA SC    34  X   1( 1)   3( 4)   4( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
MYRTLE BEACH   34  X   1( 1)   7( 8)  33(41)   3(44)   X(44)   X(44)
MYRTLE BEACH   50  X   X( X)   X( X)  11(11)   2(13)   X(13)   X(13)
MYRTLE BEACH   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
CHARLESTON SC  34  X   1( 1)  12(13)  15(28)   1(29)   X(29)   X(29)
CHARLESTON SC  50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
AUGUSTA GA     34  X   1( 1)   3( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
SAVANNAH GA    34  X   1( 1)   7( 8)   5(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)
 
MAYPORT NS     34  X   4( 4)   6(10)   2(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 
JACKSONVILLE   34  X   2( 2)   5( 7)   1( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
DAYTONA BEACH  34  1   7( 8)   4(12)   1(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)
 
ORLANDO FL     34  1   2( 3)   3( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
COCOA BEACH FL 34  7   4(11)   3(14)   1(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)
 
PATRICK AFB    34  7   3(10)   3(13)   1(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)
 
FT PIERCE FL   34  3   2( 5)   2( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
W PALM BEACH   34  1   1( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
TAMPA FL       34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
CEDAR KEY FL   34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
TALLAHASSEE FL 34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
ST MARKS FL    34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
GRAND BAHAMA   34  1   1( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BEVEN                                                    
NNNN                                                                


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Page last modified: Saturday, 25-Oct-2014 12:09:07 UTC