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Hurricane ARTHUR


ZCZC MIATCMAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
 
HURRICANE ARTHUR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL012014
1500 UTC FRI JUL 04 2014
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
ENVIRONMENT CANADA HAS REPLACED ALL REMAINING TROPICAL STORM
WATCHES WITH A TROPICAL STORM WARNING.
 
ALL HURRICANE WARNINGS HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED.  THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR WESTERN ALBEMARLE SOUND HAS ALSO BEEN DISCONTINUED.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER TO CAPE CHARLES LIGHT
VIRGINIA...INCLUDING THE MOUTH OF THE CHESAPEAKE BAY
* NANTUCKET
* CAPE COD FROM PROVINCETOWN TO WOODS HOLE
* NOVA SCOTIA INCLUDING CAPE BRETON ISLAND
* PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND
* NEW BRUNSWICK FROM THE U. S./CANADA BORDER TO GRAND-ANSE
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN COASTAL PORTIONS OF NEW ENGLAND AND
NEWFOUNDLAND SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ARTHUR.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.7N  73.4W AT 04/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  40 DEGREES AT  21 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  976 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  35SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  80SE  40SW  30NW.
34 KT.......100NE 110SE  70SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 240SE 240SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.7N  73.4W AT 04/1500Z
AT 04/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 36.8N  74.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 40.2N  70.1W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  35SE  30SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  90SE  50SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE 130SE  90SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 44.0N  66.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 100SE  70SW  40NW.
34 KT...130NE 150SE 130SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 46.1N  63.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 200SE 160SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 48.0N  59.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 240SE 240SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 55.0N  52.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...100NE 300SE 240SW   0NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 59.0N  46.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 62.0N  35.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 37.7N  73.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
 
 
NNNN


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Page last modified: Wednesday, 20-Aug-2014 12:09:04 UTC