Post-Tropical Cyclone NARDA
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POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE NARDA DISCUSSION NUMBER 16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142013
800 AM PDT THU OCT 10 2013
NARDA HAS BECOME A SWIRL OF LOW CLOUDS AND HAS DEGENERATED INTO A
REMNANT AREA OF LOW PRESSURE. OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS...THE
ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION HAS BEEN SPORADIC AND LESS PERSISTENT.
ALSO...THE DVORAK T-NUMBERS HAVE FALLEN BELOW WHAT WOULD BE
EXPECTED FOR A TROPICAL CYCLONE. THE LOW COULD STILL OCCASIONALLY
GENERATE A FEW PATCHES OF DEEP CONVECTION. HOWEVER...BECAUSE THE
SYSTEM IS LOCATED WITHIN AN ENVIRONMENT OF HIGH SHEAR AND STABLE
AIR...IT IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE IN A DAY OR SO WHILE IT DRIFTS
TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 10/1500Z 16.3N 129.1W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
12H 11/0000Z 16.2N 129.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
24H 11/1200Z 15.5N 130.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
36H 12/0000Z...DISSIPATED
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FORECASTER AVILA
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