Tropical Storm ERICK
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TROPICAL STORM ERICK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052013
2100 UTC SUN JUL 07 2013
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM SANTA FE TO LA PAZ
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 108.1W AT 07/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 9 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 996 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 100SE 60SW 75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 108.1W AT 07/2100Z
AT 07/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.0N 107.7W
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 21.0N 109.3W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 22.0N 111.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 22.9N 112.7W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 23.9N 114.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 25.0N 117.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.3N 108.1W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0300Z
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FORECASTER BLAKE/STEWART
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