Skip Navigation Links weather.gov   
NOAA logo - Click to go to the NOAA homepage National Weather Service   NWS logo - Click to go to the NWS homepage
National Hurricane Center
Local forecast by
"City, St" or "ZIP"

 
Alternate Formats
   Text     |   Mobile
   Email   |   RSS XML/RSS logo
   About Alternates
Cyclone Forecasts
   Latest Advisory
   Past Advisories
   Audio/Podcasts
   About Advisories
Marine Forecasts
   Atlantic & E Pacific
   Gridded Marine
   About Marine
Tools & Data
   Satellite | Radar
   Analysis Tools
   Aircraft Recon
   GIS Datasets
   Data Archive
Development
   Experimental
   Research
   Forecast Accuracy
Outreach & Education
   Prepare
   Storm Surge
   About Cyclones
   Cyclone Names
   Wind Scale
   Most Extreme
   Forecast Models
   Breakpoints
   Resources
   Glossary | Acronyms
   Frequent Questions
Our Organization
   About NHC
   Mission & Vision
   Staff | Q&A
   Visitors | Virtual Tour
   Library Branch
   NCEP | Newsletter
Contact Us
   Comments
Follow the National Hurricane Center on Facebook Follow the National Hurricane Center on Twitter
Subscribe the National Hurricane Center on YouTube Read the National Hurricane Center Inside the Eye blog on WordPress
FirstGov.gov is the U.S. Government's official Web portal to all Federal, state and local government Web resources and services.
 
 

Tropical Storm DALILA


ZCZC MIATCDEP4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
 
TROPICAL STORM DALILA DISCUSSION NUMBER  21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP042013
200 PM PDT THU JUL 04 2013
 
ALTHOUGH A FEW THUNDERSTORMS HAVE REDEVELOPED OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN
PORTION OF THE CIRCULATION THIS AFTERNOON...DALILA BARELY QUALIFIES
AS A TROPICAL CYCLONE.  THE INITIAL WIND SPEED IS SET AT 35 KT 
AND IS SUPPORTED BY RECENT ASCAT DATA AND A BLEND OF THE VARIOUS
DVORAK T- AND CI-NUMBERS.  DRY AIR AND MODERATE EASTERLY SHEAR ARE
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO CAUSE THE CYCLONE TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN EVEN
THOUGH IT WILL REMAIN OVER SSTS OF 26 TO 27 DEGREES CELSIUS FOR
ANOTHER 24 HOURS OR SO.  DALIA IS FORECAST TO DEGENERATE TO A
REMNANT LOW IN ABOUT 24 HOURS...BUT THIS COULD OCCUR SOONER.
 
DALILA IS MOVING WESTWARD AT ABOUT 6 KT. A WEST TO WEST-NORTHWEST
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.  
THE LATEST GUIDANCE HINTS AT MORE INTERACTION BETWEEN DALIA AND 
THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION TO ITS SOUTHEAST.  THIS IS LIKELY TO 
CAUSE THE POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE TO DECELERATE IN 2 TO 3 DAYS.  
THE UPDATED NHC TRACK FORECAST IS ONCE AGAIN SLOWER THAN THE
PREVIOUS ADVISORY AFTER 36 TO 48 HOURS. 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  04/2100Z 17.3N 110.4W   35 KT  40 MPH
 12H  05/0600Z 17.3N 111.3W   30 KT  35 MPH
 24H  05/1800Z 17.5N 112.3W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 36H  06/0600Z 17.8N 113.1W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 48H  06/1800Z 18.0N 114.0W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 72H  07/1800Z 18.3N 116.0W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 96H  08/1800Z 18.3N 118.5W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
120H  09/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
 
NNNN


Quick Navigation Links:
Tropical Cyclone Forecasts  -  Tropical Marine Forecasts  -  Data Archive
Outreach  -  Prepare  -  About Cyclones  -  About NHC  -  Contact Us

NOAA/ National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
National Hurricane Center
11691 SW 17th Street
Miami, Florida 33165-2149 USA
nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov
Disclaimer
Credits
Information Quality
Glossary
Privacy Policy
Freedom of Information Act (FOIA)
About Us
Career Opportunities
Page last modified: Monday, 07-Apr-2014 23:29:19 UTC