Tropical Storm COSME

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TROPICAL STORM COSME FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP032013
0900 UTC MON JUN 24 2013
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.8N 105.2W AT 24/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......  0NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 240SE 240SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.8N 105.2W AT 24/0900Z
AT 24/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 104.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 13.9N 106.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 15.2N 108.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 16.2N 110.8W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE   0SW  40NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 17.0N 113.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 120SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 18.5N 118.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE   0SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/0600Z 19.7N 124.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z 20.0N 129.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.8N 105.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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