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Tropical Depression SEVEN


ZCZC MIATCPAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
 
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   1A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL072013
800 PM AST WED SEP 04 2013
 
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION DRIFTING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD...
...EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM TONIGHT OR TOMORROW...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.7N 66.2W
ABOUT 120 MI...190 KM S OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO
ABOUT 195 MI...315 KM SE OF PUNTA CANA DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUERTO RICO
* DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO TO CABO FRANCES VIEJO
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM SANTO DOMINGO TO CABO ENGANO
 
INTERESTS IN THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS
ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 12 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 12 TO 24
HOURS.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE
THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 66.2 WEST. OVER THE
PAST COUPLE OF HOURS THE DEPRESSION HAS BEEN DRIFTING TOWARD THE
NORTH-NORTHWEST AT AROUND 2 MPH...4 KM/H. HOWEVER...A MOTION TOWARD
THE NORTHWEST AT A FASTER FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TO RESUME
TONIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-
NORTHWEST IS FORECAST ON FRIDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER
SHOULD PASS NEAR OR JUST WEST OF PUERTO RICO EARLY ON THURSDAY...
NEAR OR JUST EAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC LATER ON THURSDAY...AND
MOVE EAST OF THE TURKS AND THE CAICOS ISLANDS ON FRIDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS...AND THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM
TONIGHT OR THURSDAY.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE BASED ON DATA FROM THE NASA
GLOBAL HAWK AIRCRAFT IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF PUERTO RICO...THE U.S.
VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF UP TO 10 INCHES POSSIBLE IN AREAS
OF MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. THESE HEAVIER AMOUNTS COULD RESULT IN
DANGEROUS FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN.

WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO FIRST REACH THE
COAST OF PUERTO RICO OVERNIGHT...AND REACH THE WARNING AREA IN THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BY MIDDAY THURSDAY. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA BY EARLY THURSDAY.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST.
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
 
NNNN


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Page last modified: Monday, 07-Apr-2014 23:28:57 UTC